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Clinton Wins Nevada

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 5:27 pm
by Bryan Schwegler

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 5:39 pm
by Stephen Eisel
Is Nevada more significant than Iowa? :D

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 5:40 pm
by Bryan Schwegler
Stephen Eisel wrote:Is Nevada more significant than Iowa? :D


Well there's certainly more delegates I believe. :)

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 5:52 pm
by Stephen Eisel
Bryan Schwegler wrote:
Stephen Eisel wrote:Is Nevada more significant than Iowa? :D


Well there's certainly more delegates I believe. :)
I do believe that Iowa has more delegates.. :D

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 6:08 pm
by Brian Pedaci
These winner/loser calls in primaries drive me bananas. The difference between Clinton and Obama in NV is 2 delegates. Out of over 4000. Winning is important for Clinton because she leads in the superdelegate count and she simply needs to maintain that lead. Otherwise it's meaningless.

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 8:14 pm
by Bryan Schwegler
Stephen Eisel wrote:
Bryan Schwegler wrote:
Stephen Eisel wrote:Is Nevada more significant than Iowa? :D


Well there's certainly more delegates I believe. :)
I do believe that Iowa has more delegates.. :D


You are right. But what does matter is public perception. Hillary has now won 3 out of the 4 states that have held Democratic primaries (that includes MI which doesn't count this year for Dems).

As we head into "mega Tuesday" or whatever it's called, perception of momentum is important. That's why Nevada is important. South Carolina will be interesting...

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 8:50 pm
by Stephen Eisel
But she only has a two delegate lead... (I think :D )

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:06 pm
by Stephen Eisel

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:35 pm
by Bryan Schwegler
Stephen Eisel wrote:But she only has a two delegate lead... (I think :D )


But the average voter doesn't pay attention to delegate count, they look at who won. If someone continues to win, it's more likely more people will vote for them. The whole bandwagon effect.

Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:54 pm
by Stephen Eisel
Bryan Schwegler wrote:
Stephen Eisel wrote:But she only has a two delegate lead... (I think :D )


But the average voter doesn't pay attention to delegate count, they look at who won. If someone continues to win, it's more likely more people will vote for them. The whole bandwagon effect.
I am confused :D What is the difference between pledged and Superdelegates? I thought that the Superdlegates did not get counted until the democratic convention?

Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 12:43 am
by Stephen Eisel
Nevada, Obama 13 delegates and Hillary 12

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primar ... /state/#NV

Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 8:59 am
by Bryan Schwegler
Stephen Eisel wrote:Nevada, Obama 13 delegates and Hillary 12

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primar ... /state/#NV


The problem is, that's not the true count. You need to include Nevada's super delegates also:

Clinton 12+2 = 14
Obama 13+1 = 14

CNN does a horrible job of displaying the true count of delegates for each candidate.

The overall totals are:

Clinton 210
Obama 123

Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:00 am
by David Lay
Bryan Schwegler wrote:CNN does a horrible job of displaying the true count of delegates for each candidate.


Agreed. I never fully understood how they can call election results so early.

Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:07 am
by Stephen Eisel

Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 9:10 am
by Stephen Eisel
From Wiki


Superdelegates are delegates to a presidential nominating convention in the United States who are not bound by the decisions of party primaries or caucuses. Superdelegates are elected officeholders and party officials.

Superdelegates were first appointed in the 1970s, after control of the nomination process in the Democratic Party effectively moved out of the hands of party officials into the primary and caucus process. The aim was to accord some say in the process to people who had been playing roles in the party before the election year.

As of the 2008 nominating cycle, the Republican Party does not have superdelegates. It does, however, have 463 unpledged delegates, 123 of whom are Republican National Committee members.[1]

In the Democratic primary phase of the 2004 U.S. Presidential election, Howard Dean acquired an early lead in delegate counts by obtaining the support of a number of superdelegates before even the first primaries were held.