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Covid-19 by the numbers

Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:51 pm
by Don Schmitz
For anyone who is interested, I analyzed the State of Ohio numbers that were posted on this forum.
Here is what I found:

From 4/8/20 to 5/7/20 (29 days),
121,719 tests (4197 tests/day average)
16,983 positive (13.95% positive)

From 5/7/20 to 5/22/20 (15 days),
122.025 tests (8135 tests/day average)
8663 positive (7.10% positive)

From 7/9/20 to 7/17/20 (8 days),
200,114 tests (25.111 tests/day average)
10,889 positive (5.44% positive)

Although the number of daily new cases is alarming, the data show that the percent of positives has decreased substantially.
Conclusion: The high number of daily new cases is the result of the increase in number tested.

Disclaimer: I have no agenda in doing this analysis; I was just curious (and had time on my hands).
(FWIW, I've been tutoring math at Tri-C for nearly 25 years.)

Re: Covid-19 by the numbers

Posted: Sat Jul 18, 2020 10:52 am
by pj bennett
I remember your involvement with 'numbers' from our days together with SLH.
You're like a numbers cruncher in human form. I say that with utmost respect :D

Thank you for providing us with these statistics. It gives us a different, more informative perspective.

Re: Covid-19 by the numbers

Posted: Wed Jul 22, 2020 8:46 am
by Mark Kindt
Don Schmitz wrote:For anyone who is interested, I analyzed the State of Ohio numbers that were posted on this forum.
Here is what I found:

From 4/8/20 to 5/7/20 (29 days),
121,719 tests (4197 tests/day average)
16,983 positive (13.95% positive)

From 5/7/20 to 5/22/20 (15 days),
122.025 tests (8135 tests/day average)
8663 positive (7.10% positive)

From 7/9/20 to 7/17/20 (8 days),
200,114 tests (25.111 tests/day average)
10,889 positive (5.44% positive)

Although the number of daily new cases is alarming, the data show that the percent of positives has decreased substantially.
Conclusion: The high number of daily new cases is the result of the increase in number tested.

Disclaimer: I have no agenda in doing this analysis; I was just curious (and had time on my hands).
(FWIW, I've been tutoring math at Tri-C for nearly 25 years.)
Mr. Schmitz, while I do not doubt the accuracy of your calculations, I am concerned that your conclusion implies "causation" rather than "correlation".

You might want to also review the article at the link below on the Centers for Disease Control:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/2 ... ata-376131 as a "control" for your conclusion that "the high number of daily cases is the result of the increase in number tested".