For anyone who is interested, I analyzed the State of Ohio numbers that were posted on this forum.
Here is what I found:
From 4/8/20 to 5/7/20 (29 days),
121,719 tests (4197 tests/day average)
16,983 positive (13.95% positive)
From 5/7/20 to 5/22/20 (15 days),
122.025 tests (8135 tests/day average)
8663 positive (7.10% positive)
From 7/9/20 to 7/17/20 (8 days),
200,114 tests (25.111 tests/day average)
10,889 positive (5.44% positive)
Although the number of daily new cases is alarming, the data show that the percent of positives has decreased substantially.
Conclusion: The high number of daily new cases is the result of the increase in number tested.
Disclaimer: I have no agenda in doing this analysis; I was just curious (and had time on my hands).
(FWIW, I've been tutoring math at Tri-C for nearly 25 years.)
Covid-19 by the numbers
Moderator: Jim O'Bryan
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Don Schmitz
- Posts: 150
- Joined: Tue Jun 09, 2015 11:56 pm
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pj bennett
- Posts: 231
- Joined: Fri Mar 09, 2018 3:56 pm
Re: Covid-19 by the numbers
I remember your involvement with 'numbers' from our days together with SLH.
You're like a numbers cruncher in human form. I say that with utmost respect
Thank you for providing us with these statistics. It gives us a different, more informative perspective.
You're like a numbers cruncher in human form. I say that with utmost respect
Thank you for providing us with these statistics. It gives us a different, more informative perspective.
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Mark Kindt
- Posts: 2647
- Joined: Sat Dec 03, 2016 11:06 am
Re: Covid-19 by the numbers
Mr. Schmitz, while I do not doubt the accuracy of your calculations, I am concerned that your conclusion implies "causation" rather than "correlation".Don Schmitz wrote:For anyone who is interested, I analyzed the State of Ohio numbers that were posted on this forum.
Here is what I found:
From 4/8/20 to 5/7/20 (29 days),
121,719 tests (4197 tests/day average)
16,983 positive (13.95% positive)
From 5/7/20 to 5/22/20 (15 days),
122.025 tests (8135 tests/day average)
8663 positive (7.10% positive)
From 7/9/20 to 7/17/20 (8 days),
200,114 tests (25.111 tests/day average)
10,889 positive (5.44% positive)
Although the number of daily new cases is alarming, the data show that the percent of positives has decreased substantially.
Conclusion: The high number of daily new cases is the result of the increase in number tested.
Disclaimer: I have no agenda in doing this analysis; I was just curious (and had time on my hands).
(FWIW, I've been tutoring math at Tri-C for nearly 25 years.)
You might want to also review the article at the link below on the Centers for Disease Control:
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/2 ... ata-376131 as a "control" for your conclusion that "the high number of daily cases is the result of the increase in number tested".