Most of the polls make very little sense. This poll says that Obama leads by one among those that have already voted but leads by seven among all voters. That means that among those who have not voted the Obama lead is 20 points. I have my doubts.
Bill-- based on various reports that are proprietary and sent to me on that basis, the early vote in Ohio is quite substantially greater than in 2004 and in Cuyahoga County, the percentage of those voting early who are Democrats is 80%.
The figures that you have presented are inaccurate.
Stan
It is unclear which set you are quoting from Bill. The one that you like the best? Hmmm.
"When I dare to be powerful -- to use my strength in the service of my vision, then it becomes less and less important whether I am afraid." - Audre Lorde
From the phone calls I made to people of both parties, a lot were crossing over.
Pretty wonderful.
"When I dare to be powerful -- to use my strength in the service of my vision, then it becomes less and less important whether I am afraid." - Audre Lorde
Stan Austin wrote:Bill-- based on various reports that are proprietary and sent to me on that basis, the early vote in Ohio is quite substantially greater than in 2004 and in Cuyahoga County, the percentage of those voting early who are Democrats is 80%. The figures that you have presented are inaccurate. Stan
Early voting in Colorado is evently divided between R's and D's. Polling in CO that shows Obama ahead is assuming D's will out number R's by 5% to 10%. The Battleground poll shows Obama winning 50.2% and McCain winning 48.3% nationwide. If that is true McCain wins the electoral vote.
"When I dare to be powerful -- to use my strength in the service of my vision, then it becomes less and less important whether I am afraid." - Audre Lorde
)