I too, have made frequent calls for forecasting, and budgeting on something other than an Ad Hoc basis. But I think where we differ on this is my very real concern that we simply don't have the luxury of time to study the data, determine who or what is to blame (if anyone or thing) and then move forward. There is no question but that there is a safety issue. I would prefer that we we first address the present symptoms and once these are under control we will have the time to examine and cure the underlying cause of those symptoms. Must we first determine why the ship hit an iceberg before we start running the pumps?
I would much rather stop the perceived decline in safety now. We can then figure out who is to blame for these present circumstances once kids aren't getting held up at gunpoint for their cellphones. It's simply more important to me to be safe and secure then being able to point at one or another elected official and being able to say, "Our present mess was his/her fault". We can and should get to that point, of course. It may get someone elected, or thrown out of office. But in the meantime, let's get a bandage and some antiseptic on this before it turns gangrenous and has to be amputated.
Jeff
P.S. It isn't a scare campaign if there really is a monster in the closet.