Covid-19 numbers game

[Don Schmitz]

From 2/4/22 to 2/14/22:
217,667 tests (21,767/day average)
28,403 positive (13.05% positive) (State of Ohio numbers)*

Percent positive is down 10.91% from my last post 10 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

*Less than 5% positive in Cuyahoga County (for the 7-day period ending Saturday, 2/12/22)

[Don Schmitz]

From 2/14/22 to 2/24/22:
214,037 tests (21,404/day average)
16,044 positive (7.50% positive) (State of Ohio numbers)*

Percent positive is down 5.55% from my last post 10 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

*3.5% positive in Cuyahoga County (for the 7-day period ending Wednesday, 2/23/22)

[Don Schmitz]

From 2/24/22 to 3/6/22:
194,186 tests (19,419/day average)
9,806 positive (5.05% positive) (State of Ohio numbers)

Percent positive is down 2.45% from my last post 10 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

[Don Schmitz]

From 3/6/22 to 3/17/22:
164,325 tests (14,939/day average)
6,532 positive (4.0% positive) (State of Ohio numbers, now only posted once per week on Thursday)

Percent positive is down 1.05% from my last post 11 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

[Don Schmitz]

From 3/18/22 to 3/24/22:
102,887 tests (14,698/day average)
3,668 positive (3.57% positive) (State of Ohio numbers, now only posted once per week on Thursday)

Percent positive is down 0.43% from my last post 7 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

[Don Schmitz]

From 3/24/22 to 3/31/22:
97,521 tests (13,932/day average)
3,103 positive (3.18% positive) (State of Ohio numbers, now only posted once per week on Thursday)

Percent positive is down 0.39% from my last post 7 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases

[Don Schmitz]

From 3/31/22 to 4/7/22:
92,071 tests (13,153/day average)
3,828 positive (4.16% positive) (State of Ohio numbers, now only posted once per week on Thursday)

Percent positive is up 0.92% from my last post 7 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases


(2.16% positive in Cuyahoga County (for the 7-day period ending Sunday, 4/3/22.)

[Tim Liston]

Covid is over. Right now only about 2% of all hospital beds are used by COVID patients. It's past time to stop obsessing IMO.

See: https://www.upi.com/Health_News/2022/04 ... 648839146/

[Dan Alaimo]

Covid is over.

Not quite yet.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/07/us/p ... itive.html

[Bridget Conant]

But is it over?

10-30 percent of those infected develop “Long Covid,” or an extended, symptomatic illness.

Current research is finding that even those having mild cases develop organ damage, especially to the heart and vasculature, while others have long lasting neurological sequelae, indicating brain damage.

Also concerning with a novel virus is it’s oncogenic potential. That, too, is a real concern with SARS Cov-2. Here is just one paper raising the alarm about the oncogenicity of the virus-
:

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101 ... Rnzhs_Mf4M

It’s FAR from over. We are facing a heavy load upon our healthcare system dealing with long term illness and disability in survivors.

And lastly, there is no natural history of a virus that indicates they only evolve into milder forms. The likelihood is still there that the virus can mutate into a more deadly form.

So Covid isn’t over, and never will be.

[Mark Kindt]

Covid is over. Right now only about 2% of all hospital beds are used by COVID patients. It's past time to stop obsessing IMO.

See: https://www.upi.com/Health_News/2022/04 ... 648839146/

I always appreciate your opinions when you post. I also appreciate your statistical and financial sophistication.

While risks may appear to be low generally or on average, individual considerations and situations will always play a determining role in personal health considerations and decisions.

My primary family determinants are age and preexisting conditions; many in our community -- as many as 10% or more -- will for their own health and safety have to treat pandemic risks with mindfulness.

I will make the final point that determinants of present risk seem to have little in common with past risks or future risks -- as we saw as recently as just a month or two ago -- when Omicron numbers were 10 times higher than they have been this month.

[pj bennett]

Just because hospitals aren’t jammed to the gills with patients suffering life-threatening conditions caused from covid, doesn’t mean that it is over.
(No one I know, who tested positive, required hospitalization.)

The BA.2 variant now has a significant foothold here in the states. (It’s running rampant in the UK.)

Plus, a variant called XE has been found in the UK, as well as a few other overseas locations.

Getting vaccinated (and boosted) and taking common sense precautions, such as wearing a mask in crowded conditions, will certainly protect and slow the spread. But, covid is still out there.

I was at CWRU yesterday, and I was impressed at the number of students, who wore masks, though it is not required.
(I believe, that staff and faculty, are required to mask.)

Catching covid, even a mild case, can have lasting effects. I personally know a healthy, young man, who continues to be troubled with brain fog since catching covid 4 months ago.

I wish covid was over, but it is not.

[Don Schmitz]

From 4/7/22 to 4/14/22:
59,966 tests (8,567/day average)
4,808 positive (8.02% positive) (State of Ohio numbers, now only posted once per week on Thursday)

Percent positive is up 3.86% from my last post 7 days ago.

https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/dashboards ... rics/cases


3.66% positive (up 1.5%) in Cuyahoga County (for the 7-day period ending Sunday, 4/10/22.)

[Tim Liston]

Don this week you cited 4,808 new positives in Ohio. But cleveland.com says “the number was artificially inflated due to a backlog of positive test results being processed” (click here). The fact is, COVID incidence is still decreasing dramatically. People should not be misled.

And Don your numbers also indicate that COVID-19 has afflicted only one in 1,000 Ohioans in the last month (3668+3103+3828+4808) / 11,800,000) = .0013). That’s virtually zero. There are dozens of afflictions that impact more Ohioans than COVID. Like maybe fish odor syndrome (click here)?

Bridget please note that the report you cited, its publisher says “has not been formally peer-reviewed and should not … be reported in the press as conclusive.” There is no value in that information. Plus, the “organ damage, especially to the heart and vasculature” you cite, many claim are in fact adverse reactions to the vaccine (aka the “clot shot”).

Then earlier this week even Dr. Fauci acknowledges that people should now calculate their “individual risk” (his words) regarding COVID. Even Dr. Fauci (“the science”) is saying it’s time to get over it.

So…. Only one Ohioan out of a thousand has contracted COVID in the last month, a virus whose symptoms are now almost always mild or non-existent. Only 2% of hospital beds nationally are now taken by COVID-19 patients. And even Dr. Fauci in the “individual risk” camp….

COVID is over. It’s endemic like every other virus. It’s time to get over it.

[Bridget Conant]

Sorry, you don’t understand the word ENDEMIC.


The research I linked to regarded the oncogenic potential of the virus. That is necessarily preliminary research. As to the heart and vascular damage inflicted by the virus, the research is there, plenty of it, published in peer reviewed journals.

I can see from both your limited understanding of endemicity and your assertion that the vaccine is causing the vascular damage that you have bought into another big lie.

Good luck with that.