Ryan, glib would be in the eye of the reader. You and me share much aptitude-wise I would guess. I know you're serious and I also appreciate at times your intuitive speculations, and, (in my terms,) droll poetics.
But, this impression noted, had you started started off with the speculations and left off the musing about historical events, you'd not left the rails, as I see it.
Still, sometimes you make an assertion and on my end I simply wonder whether it is true or not. And for any assertion, its--usually-either credibly supported or not.
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For example:
Railroads on existing right of ways require less subsidizing than suburban-scaled interstate highways.
If I asked you to support this assertion with data, what will you bring to bear in support?
And, again just from my harsh perspective, I always wonder whether a person obtains the data first and then infers their assertion, (so-to-speak,) or, alternately, makes the assertion and then, when challenged, runs to cover their butt...if they can.
So, intuition is workable but eventually one may be called to back up and present the letter of sensibility. And, really, why not set the bar high? Then, in a slew of paragraphs, you introduce a slew of hypotheses, and I'm compelled to wonder if you'll even bother to support them.
For goodness sakes, just pick one. Such as:
The cost of the Iraq war represents the dollar value oil had been undervalued on the hypothetical free market.
This is coupled, presumably, to a quantifiable argument. Is this in (your) hand already? Or not? Show your cards.